Skip to content

BootChainLadder method different than England/Verrall #51

@loverway

Description

@loverway

Correct me if I'm wrong, but it looks like the getExpected function is calculating the fitted triangle based on the Chain Ladder ultimates. This is different than England/Verrall Appendix 3 in which you "Obtain cumulative fitted values for the past triangle by backwards recursion, starting with the observed cumulative paid to date in the latest diagonal."

getExpected <- function(ults, ultDFs){ ults <- expandArray(ults, 2, dim(ultDFs)[2]) ultDFs <- expandArray(ultDFs, 1, dim(ults)[1]) return(ults * ultDFs) }

While the manual states "The implementation of BootChainLadder follows closely the discussion of the bootstrap model in section 8 and appendix 3 of the paper by England and Verrall (2002)", I think it's appropriate to note the difference in methods.

Metadata

Metadata

Assignees

No one assigned

    Labels

    No labels
    No labels

    Projects

    No projects

    Milestone

    No milestone

    Relationships

    None yet

    Development

    No branches or pull requests

    Issue actions