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This Project is one amongst project carried out in the 3MTT program. This Project is on the hmeq loan default prediction .

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HMEQ LOAN DEFAULT PREDICTION

DESCRIPTION

This Project is one amongst project carried out in the 3MTT program.

PROBLEM STATEMENT

A bank's consumer credit department aims to simplify the decision-making process for home equity lines of credit to be accepted. To do this, they will adopt the Equal Credit Opportunity Act's guidelines to establish an empirically derived and statistically sound model for credit scoring. The model will be based on the data obtained via the existing loan underwriting process from recent applicants who have been given credit. The model will be built from predictive modeling techniques, but the model created must be interpretable enough to provide a justification for any adverse behavior (rejections).

• Perform EDA and feature analysis to give recommendations to the bank on the key features to consider while approving a loan. • Build a classification model to predict clients who are likely to default on their loan • Maximizing Recall (false negatives) as banks are more fearful of defaulters given they result in greater loss. • Preferably maintaining a high F1-Score (overall accuracy) as false positives would result in a loss of interest profit for the bank. • Build a classification model to predict clients who are likely to default on their loan • Give recommendations to the bank on the important features to consider while approving a loan.

DATA DESCRIPTION

The Home Equity dataset (HMEQ) contains baseline and loan performance information for 5,960 recent home equity loans. The target (BAD) is a binary variable that indicates whether an applicant has ultimately defaulted or has been severely delinquent. This adverse outcome occurred in 1,189 cases (20 percent). 12 input variables were registered for each applicant.

BAD: 1 = Client defaulted on loan, 0 = loan repaid LOAN: Amount of loan approved. MORTDUE: Amount due on the existing mortgage. VALUE: Current value of the property. REASON: Reason for the loan request. (HomeImp = home improvement, DebtCon= debt consolidation which means taking out a new loan to pay off other liabilities and consumer debts) JOB: The type of job that loan applicant has such as manager, self, etc. YOJ: Years at present job. DEROG: Number of major derogatory reports (which indicate a serious delinquency or late payments). DELINQ: Number of delinquent credit lines (a line of credit becomes delinquent when a borrower does not make the minimum required payments 30 to 60 days past the day on which the payments were due). CLAGE: Age of the oldest credit line in months. NINQ: Number of recent credit inquiries. CLNO: Number of existing credit lines. DEBTINC: Debt-to-income ratio (all your monthly debt payments divided by your gross monthly income). This number is one-way lenders measure your ability to manage the monthly payments to repay the money you plan to borrow.

METHOD OF EVALUTION

  • Recall
  • F1 Score

PROJECT DEVELOPMENT PROCESS

  • EDA viusalizing data for:
    • Correlation,
    • anomalies,
    • cental tendencies
    • Feature importance.
  • Date wrangling
    • Handling missing value usig mean, median, and fill.
    • Ecoding Categorical Variable
    • Standardizing features

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This Project is one amongst project carried out in the 3MTT program. This Project is on the hmeq loan default prediction .

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