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temperature-attribution

Attribution of contributions to global mean surface temperature change through to 2025.

Uses fair-calibrate v1.4.5, where emissions and forcing are historical best estimates. I use a three-year extrapolation of emissions to 2025 following a linear extrapolation of recent emissions trends.

requirements

  • python
  • conda or mamba

Obtain a minimal distribution of conda from https://docs.conda.io/projects/miniconda/en/latest/miniconda-install.html. conda also ships with python, so you do not need to install python separately.

reproduction

  1. clone the repository and cd to temperature-attribution
  2. create the environment using conda env create -f environment.yml
  3. activate the environment with conda activate temperature-attribution
  4. run nbstripout --install to ensure clean notebook commits
  5. fire up jupyter notebook and run the notebook in the notebooks directory. The notebook for making the extensions is present, but the extensions are already shipped.

Plots and outputs are in... not surprisingly, the plots and output directories respectively.

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Attribution of contributions to global mean surface temperature change through to 2022.

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