Identifying $3.8M in fraud-related revenue risk across payment channels
Built for fintech operations analysis - demonstrating data-driven process optimization and risk management.
Payment fraud creates direct revenue loss and damages customer trust. For fintech companies processing millions in daily volume, even small fraud rates compound into high operational costs. This analysis identifies high-risk payment categories and quantifies potential savings through targeted fraud prevention.
- Source: BankSim - Synthetic Financial Dataset (Kaggle)
- Scale: 594,643 transactions
- Volume: $22.5M processed
- Categories: 15 payment types (leisure, travel, food, transportation, etc.)
| Payment Category | Fraud Rate | Risk Level |
|---|---|---|
| Leisure | 95.0% | CRITICAL |
| Travel | 79.4% | CRITICAL |
| Sports & Toys | 49.5% | HIGH |
| Hotel Services | 31.4% | HIGH |
| Other Services | 25.0% | MEDIUM |
| Food, Contents, Transportation | 0.0% | LOW |
- Total Volume Processed: $22,531,104
- Fraud Incidents: 7,200 (1.21% of transactions)
- Revenue at Risk: $3,822,671 (17% of total volume)
- Annual Savings Potential: $1,146,801 (with 30% fraud reduction)
- Top 3 categories account for 85%+ fraud → Immediate intervention opportunity
- Leisure/Travel transactions 20x riskier than average → Requires enhanced monitoring
- $3.8M fraud volume from just 1.2% of transactions → High-value fraud pattern
- 5 categories have 0% fraud → Proof that effective controls work
- Suspend auto-approval for Leisure & Travel categories >$500
- Implement manual review for these high-risk channels
- Expected impact: 40-50% fraud reduction in these categories
- Build real-time alerting for transactions in the top 3 risk categories
- A/B test enhanced verification (2FA, biometrics) on Travel payments
- Partner review: Assess vendor fraud prevention capabilities
- Deploy ML fraud model trained on category + amount + user behavior
- Optimize approval rules by category (not one-size-fits-all)
- Target outcome: 30% overall fraud reduction = $1.1M annual savings
Stack: Python, Pandas, Matplotlib, Seaborn, Kaggle API
Analysis Pipeline:
- Automated data ingestion via Kaggle API
- Statistical analysis across 594K transactions
- Risk stratification by payment category
- Revenue impact quantification
- Automated visualization generation
Key Metrics:
- Fraud rate by category
- Transaction volume analysis
- Revenue at risk calculation
- Savings opportunity modeling
git clone https://github.com/erikroa/finsys-payment.git
cd finsys-payment
python -m venv venv
venv\Scripts\activate # Windows
pip install -r requirements.txt
python analysis.py
