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financial-stability

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us_debt_analysis_site

A rigorously phased, systems-level analysis of U.S. public debt. Avoids policy prescriptions until epistemic constraints are enforced. Separates accounting from causality, tracks distributional impacts, dissects narratives, and surfaces second- and third-order risks. Built for clarity, not ideology.

  • Updated Dec 24, 2025
  • HTML

End-to-End Python implementation of Markov-Switching VAR framework for detecting endogenous financial fragility. Replicates Delli Gatti et al.'s (2025) methodology using EM algorithm, Hamilton filtering, and HP spectral decomposition to empirically test Minsky's Financial Instability Hypothesis in macroeconomic data.

  • Updated Nov 23, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

📊 Explore regime changes and real financial cycles through Minsky's hypothesis in a nonlinear framework, enhancing macroeconomic and financial analysis.

  • Updated Dec 25, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

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