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structural-breaks

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End-to-End Python implementation of Mukhia et al.'s (2025) methodology for detecting political risk transmission in stablecoin markets. Implements dynamic programming for endogenous breakpoint detection, Empirical Mode Decomposition, Cholesky-identified structural shocks, and AAFT surrogate validation to quantify political uncertainty spillovers.

  • Updated Dec 5, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

Autoregressive (AR) models with advanced techniques: model selection, diagnostics, structural breaks, rolling forecasts, Fourier seasonality, exogenous variables, business cycle analysis, and benchmarking for economic time series.

  • Updated Dec 17, 2025
  • Jupyter Notebook

End-to-End Python implementation of Liu & Cheng's (2026) methodology for U.S. Treasury yield curve forecasting. Combines Factor-Augmented Dynamic Nelson-Siegel models, High-Dimensional Random Forests, and Distributionally Robust Optimization (DRO) for risk-aware ensemble forecasting under ambiguity.

  • Updated Jan 11, 2026
  • Jupyter Notebook

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